Description

Country
Focus area
The Analyses and Forecasts for the Labour Market Development in Bulgaria Web Portal presents the results of the main medium- and long-term skills forecast exercises conducted by the Bulgarian Ministry of Labour and Social Policy (MLSP). The portal provides information, which supports the process of planning in the field of the education system in Bulgaria, incl. through the work of the National Consultative Council for Vocational Qualification of the Labour Force at MLSP.
Implementation level
At what level is the initiative implemented?
National
Starting period
TIMESPAN: In what year did the initiative commence?
The web portal has been operational since 2019.
Perspective
PERSPECTIVE: is the initiative based on evidence derived from skill forecasts or foresight activities?
The results of the medium- and long-term skills forecasts as a basic means for skills anticipation are publicised among ministries, academia, non-government sector, social partners, business, employees and jobseekers, students, etc.
Policy area
To which POLICY AREAS(s) does the initiative apply?
Funding
How it is funded?
Funded by the EU
Developed as part of the implementation of project BG05M9OP001-1.007-0001 "Increasing the effectiveness of the implemented employment policy", co-funded by the ESF.
Other
Operational Programme Human Resources Development

Skill mismatch

Skill mismatch target
What type(s) of skills MISMATCH does the initiative aim to addresses?
Skill shortages (employers cannot fill their vacancies due to a lack of skills in the labour market)
Skill gaps (worker's skills are below the level of proficiency required by their employers and jobs)
Skills matching focus
How does  the initiative address skills mismatches?
Provides medium- and long-term forecasts on sectoral and occupational shortages
Provides medium- and long-term forecasts on skills mismatch by educational degrees

Methods

Methods
What methods of undertaking skills assessments and / or skills anticipation does the policy instrument utilise?
Skills forecasting
Medium- and long-term skills forecasting
Use of skills intelligence
How is labour market information / skills intelligence used within the initiative?
LM forecasts can be used for determining the focus of training programmes
LM forecasts can be used for determining the funding for training courses provision
LM forecasts can be used for career guidance and counselling
LM forecasts can be used by students for making decisions regarding their career paths
LM forecasts can be used by unemployed for sectors/occupations related job-search decisions
LM forecasts can be used by employers for making strategic business development decisions

Stakeholders

Main responsible body
Main body or organisation with overall responsibility for the initiative.
National ministry
Ministry of Labour and Social Policy
Other involved organisations
Which other organisations have a role in the initiative?
Research centres, universities
Involved in the provision of the forecast data and information presented on the web portal
Other
Web portal development subcontractor
Beneficiaries
Who are the intended beneficiaries?
Young people making the transition from education into work
Can use the web portal information for career/upskilling/reskilling decisions
Young people with low levels of basic skills /early leavers from education or training
Can use the web portal information for career/upskilling/reskilling decisions
Adults with low basic skills
Can use the web portal information for career/upskilling/reskilling decisions
Adults in employment with upskilling potential
Can use the web portal information for career/upskilling/reskilling decisions
Adults in employment with reskilling potential
Can use the web portal information for career/upskilling/reskilling decisions
Employed adults at risk of job displacement
Can use the web portal information for career/upskilling/reskilling decisions
Minority groups in the population
Can use the web portal information for career/upskilling/reskilling decisions
Groups under-represented in certain sections of the labour market
Can use the web portal information for career/upskilling/reskilling decisions
People with disabilities
Can use the web portal information for career/upskilling/reskilling decisions
Other
Can use the web portal for labour market/education policy/training courses/corporate strategy design

Sustainability

Success factors
SUCCESS FACTORS in the implementation
The main success factors of the initiative are related to the availability of regularly updated LM forecasting data and its presentation in a user-friendly manner to the benefit to the initiative's target groups.
Barriers
BARRIERS in the implementation
No barriers to the implementation of the initiative were identified.
Monitoring and evaluation
MONITORING and EVALUATION: Is progress measured regularly? What are the indicators used to measure progress of the policy instrument? Have any evaluations been conducted?
A single indicator is defined for measuring the progress of the initiative and it is associated with the introduction of a new model for ALMPs planning and implementation. No policy evaluations or impact assessments are available so far.
Updates
UPDATES: whether there have been any major updates of the initiative since it has been implemented?
No
Effectiveness
EVIDENCE ON EFFECTIVENESS: How effective is the policy instrument?
A web-based information system has been developed which presents the results from the elaborated forecasts for the development of the labour market. The system allows data visualisation of forecast results and provides information on the trends in the demand and supply of knowledge and skills, accessible to all interested users.
Sustainability
SUSTAINABILITY: How sustainable is the policy instrument? Do you expect the instrument to continue over the next few years and why?
As the web portal information system contains a relational database and uses an internet site that allows data entry, the sustainability of the initiative is associated with the opportunities for regular updates of the presented LM forecasts, which, in its turn, depends on the availability of EU funding.

Other instruments in Bulgaria