Description

Country
Focus area
The instrument aims to address skill mismatch in the economy. The initiative implements statistical models as tools for systematic monitoring of labour market needs, developments in skills mismatch, and skills supply/demand ratios at regional level, as well as with respect to graduates. it sevres better understanding the developments in skills mismatch and disparities between the demand and supply of the labour market at a regional level by using statistical models to monitor the specific characteristics in the Slovak labour market.
Implementation level
At what level is the initiative implemented?
National
Starting period
TIMESPAN: In what year did the initiative commence?
2018-2021
Perspective
PERSPECTIVE: is the initiative based on evidence derived from skill forecasts or foresight activities?
Forecasting is based on extensive micro-data collection and subsequent analysis of labour market demand, supply and mismatch at the level of regions, occupations and for young graduates. The analysis results in a document, which entails detailed information about expected development of occupations within sectors and regions. This output, for example, informs preparation of lists of fields of study in under/oversupply, which are used by regions to govern the structure of secondary VET.
Policy area
To which POLICY AREAS(s) does the initiative apply?
Active Labour Market Policies
Funding
How it is funded?
Funded by the EU
ESF

Skill mismatch

Skill mismatch target
What type(s) of skills MISMATCH does the initiative aim to addresses?
Other
The instrument maps labour market demand and supply, and measures the degree of matching in order to inform policy decisions within the government (at the national and regional level).
Skills matching focus
How does  the initiative address skills mismatches?
The mapping of labour market demand and supply, and skills mismatch may serve as baseline data for helping match skills of young graduates to market demand.
The mapping of labour market demand and supply, and skills mismatch may serve as baseline data for up- or reskilling adults already employed.
The mapping of labour market demand and supply, and skills mismatch may serve as baseline data for up- or reskilling adults currently not in employment.
The mapping of labour market demand and supply, and skills mismatch may serve as baseline data for supporting career transitions.
The mapping of labour market demand and supply, and skills mismatch may serve as baseline data for addressing sectoral or occupational skill shortages.
The mapping of labour market demand and supply, and skills mismatch may serve as baseline data for addressing skills mismatches for broader segments of the population, based on the decision of the ministry.

Methods

Methods
What methods of undertaking skills assessments and / or skills anticipation does the policy instrument utilise?
Other
Forecasting is based on extensive micro-data collection and subsequent analysis of labour market demand, supply and mismatch at the level of regions, occupations and for young graduates. The analysis results in a document, which entails detailed information about expected development of occupations within sectors and regions. This output, for example, informs preparation of lists of fields of study in under/oversupply, which are used by regions to govern the structure of secondary VET.
Use of skills intelligence
How is labour market information / skills intelligence used within the initiative?
Forecasting is based on extensive micro-data collection and subsequent analysis of labour market demand, supply and mismatch at the level of regions, occupations and for young graduates.

Stakeholders

Main responsible body
Main body or organisation with overall responsibility for the initiative.
National ministry
Ministry of Labour, Social Affairs and Family of the Slovak Republic
Other involved organisations
Which other organisations have a role in the initiative?
Social partner: employer organisation
Social partner: trade union
Other
Trexima private company undertaking data collection and analysis (procured)
Beneficiaries
Who are the intended beneficiaries?
Other
Beneficiaries include public policy makers (labour market policy, social policy, education and training policy), Public Employment Service, employers and employers’ associations, schools and universities. The instrument provides respective beneficiaries with labour market intelligence that facilitates more informed decision-making. Policy makers use labour market forecasting to adapt labour market and training policy (Ministry of Labour, Family and Social Affairs; Public Employment Services) and education and training policy (Ministry of Education). Employers benefit from the practice by being able to influence and benefit from a more favourable structure of secondary vocational education. Schools and universities can reflect the output of forecasting in the structure of their programmes.

Sustainability

Success factors
SUCCESS FACTORS in the implementation
The interest of stakeholders in direct need of the project outcome
Barriers
BARRIERS in the implementation
Mistrust or lack of general awareness of the project's functions. Methodology has not been widely discussed with the wider expert base, e.g. academics in the field. Low capacity of some stakeholders (e.g. regions) hampers full use of the instrument.
Monitoring and evaluation
MONITORING and EVALUATION: Is progress measured regularly? What are the indicators used to measure progress of the policy instrument? Have any evaluations been conducted?
Indicators defined within the project are set-up at the level of the number of outputs (i.e. analyses/reports) produced. These have been formally fulfilled. Quality or impact in terms of use of forecasting results is not mapped.
Updates
UPDATES: whether there have been any major updates of the initiative since it has been implemented?
Yes
Prognoses are prepared on an annual basis.
Effectiveness
EVIDENCE ON EFFECTIVENESS: How effective is the policy instrument?
The estimated level of impact of the instrument is so far moderate. Some results are directly used for policy-making (e.g. regulation of IVET), but other aspects of analysis are at the moment less promoted (e.g. attractiveness of tertiary fields of study). The analytical outputs serve as partial input into various processes in the skill governance, such as the preparation of the lists of fields of study in an under/oversupply. For full impact, increased capacity of the involved actors and stakeholders as "end-users" to work critically with relatively complex data might be needed.
Sustainability
SUSTAINABILITY: How sustainable is the policy instrument? Do you expect the instrument to continue over the next few years and why?
The iniative ended at the end of February 2021. The continuation of the programme in some form is guaranteed with high probability since forecasting of development of labour market needs remains within the core activities of the Ministry.

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